Towards a systems approach for understanding honeybee decline: a stocktaking and synthesis of existing models.
Towards a systems approach for understanding honeybee decline: a stocktaking and synthesis of existing models.
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DOI：
10.1111/1365-2664.12112
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发表时间：
2013-08
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Grimm V
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Becher MA;Osborne JL;Thorbek P;Kennedy PJ;Grimm V
在过去的十年里，欧洲和美国的管理和野生蜂群的健康状况似乎大幅下降。蜂群的可持续性不仅对于蜂蜜生产很重要，而且对于农作物和野生植物以及其他昆虫授粉者的授粉也很重要。寄生虫、病原体、土地使用的变化和杀虫剂的使用等一系列因果因素被认为是蜂群死亡率增加的原因。然而，尽管对蜜蜂及其群体的行为有详细的了解，但没有合适的工具来探索这个复杂系统在压力下的弹性机制。以系统的方式经验性地测试所有压力源的组合是不可行的。因此，我们提出了一个跨层次的系统方法，基于机械建模，调查殖民地和土地管理的影响（和相互作用）。我们回顾了现有的蜜蜂模型，相关的研究不同的压力对群体的生长和生存的影响。这些模型大多描述蜜蜂群体动态、觅食行为或蜜蜂-瓦螨-病毒相互作用.我们发现，许多，但不是所有的，蜂群内的过程，流行病学和觅食在模型中得到了很好的理解和描述，但没有模型耦合在蜂巢动力学和病理学与觅食动力学在现实的景观。 合成与应用。我们描述了如何建立一个新的综合模型来模拟多因素对蜂群系统的影响，使用审查模型的积木。这样一个工具的发展，不仅突出实证研究的优先事项，但也提供了一个重要的预测工具，为决策者和养蜂人，我们列出的例子，蜜蜂疾病和景观管理决策的相关应用。我们描述了如何建立一个新的综合模型来模拟多因素对蜂群系统的影响，使用审查模型的积木。这样一个工具的发展，不仅突出实证研究的优先事项，但也提供了一个重要的预测工具，为决策者和养蜂人，我们列出的例子，蜜蜂疾病和景观管理决策的相关应用。
The health of managed and wild honeybee colonies appears to have declined substantially in Europe and the United States over the last decade. Sustainability of honeybee colonies is important not only for honey production, but also for pollination of crops and wild plants alongside other insect pollinators. A combination of causal factors, including parasites, pathogens, land use changes and pesticide usage, are cited as responsible for the increased colony mortality. However, despite detailed knowledge of the behaviour of honeybees and their colonies, there are no suitable tools to explore the resilience mechanisms of this complex system under stress. Empirically testing all combinations of stressors in a systematic fashion is not feasible. We therefore suggest a cross‐level systems approach, based on mechanistic modelling, to investigate the impacts of (and interactions between) colony and land management. We review existing honeybee models that are relevant to examining the effects of different stressors on colony growth and survival. Most of these models describe honeybee colony dynamics, foraging behaviour or honeybee – varroa mite – virus interactions. We found that many, but not all, processes within honeybee colonies, epidemiology and foraging are well understood and described in the models, but there is no model that couples in‐hive dynamics and pathology with foraging dynamics in realistic landscapes. Synthesis and applications. We describe how a new integrated model could be built to simulate multifactorial impacts on the honeybee colony system, using building blocks from the reviewed models. The development of such a tool would not only highlight empirical research priorities but also provide an important forecasting tool for policy makers and beekeepers, and we list examples of relevant applications to bee disease and landscape management decisions. We describe how a new integrated model could be built to simulate multifactorial impacts on the honeybee colony system, using building blocks from the reviewed models. The development of such a tool would not only highlight empirical research priorities but also provide an important forecasting tool for policy makers and beekeepers, and we list examples of relevant applications to bee disease and landscape management decisions.
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影响因子：
2.3
作者：
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通讯作者：
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