THE EFFECT OF VARIOUS INTERVENTIONS DURING A TYPHOID EPIDEMIC - RESULTS OF A SIMULATION STUDY
THE EFFECT OF VARIOUS INTERVENTIONS DURING A TYPHOID EPIDEMIC - RESULTS OF A SIMULATION STUDY
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DOI：
10.1007/bf01641074
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发表时间：
1983-01-01
期刊：
影响因子：
7.5
通讯作者：
HUBER, HC
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
LANGE, HJ;ULM, K;HUBER, HC
本文提出了一个具有肠道过程的伤寒或副伤寒流行病的流行病学模型，以及定量表示该模型的确定性方法。该模型已被测试对一个伤寒和两个副伤寒流行病发生在联邦共和国的德国。可以足够精确地模拟这些流行病的过程，并获得关于各种干预措施（例如口服疫苗或卫生措施）的效果的信息。
This paper presents an epidemiological model for typhoid fever epidemics or paratyphoid diseases with an enteric course, as well as a deterministic approach for the quantitative representation of this model. The model has been tested against one typhoid and two paratyphoid epidemics which occurred in the Federal Republic of Germany. It was possible to simulate the course of these epidemics with sufficient precision, and to obtain information on the effects of various interventions (e.g. oral vaccination or hygiene measures).