Hurricane Katrina: Preliminary Estimates of Commercial and Public Sector Damages

Hurricane Katrina: Preliminary Estimates of Commercial and Public Sector Damages
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卡特里娜飓风:商业和公共部门损失的初步估计

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发表时间:
2005
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通讯作者:
Michael J. Hicks
Michael J. Hicks
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文献类型:
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作者:
Michael J. Hicks

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卡特里娜飓风对路易斯安那州、密西西比州和亚拉巴马州的经济和基础设施的影响是商业企业、地区居民和各级决策者的当务之急。了解损失的严重性和恢复工作的规模对于在受灾地区部署资源的私营和公共决策者都很重要。本文件提供了对若干基础设施类别以及住宅和商业结构、内容和设备的损害的初步估计。这一估计是基于早期的分析(Burton和Hicks,2003年),该分析提供了一个基于1993年密西西比上游洪水的经济损失模型。具体而言,我们估计卡特里娜飓风造成的商业结构损失为210亿美元,商业设备损失为360亿美元,住宅结构和内容损失近750亿美元,电力设施损失为2.31亿美元,高速公路损失为30亿美元,下水道系统损失为12亿美元,商业收入损失为46亿美元。我们目前无法估计供水系统和一些关键基础设施的损失,也没有包括生命损失或对该地区环境设施的破坏所造成的经济后果。
Hurricane Katrina's impact on the economy and infrastructure of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama represents an immediate concern to commercial enterprises, area residents, and policymakers at all levels. Understanding the severity of the damages and the magnitude of the recovery efforts are important for both private and public decision makers deploying resources in the affected area. This paper provides initial estimates of damages in a number of infrastructure categories and residential and commercial structures, content and equipment. The estimation is based upon earlier analysis (Burton and Hicks, 2003) which provided an economic model of damages based upon the upper Mississippi floods of 1993. Specifically we estimate that Hurricane Katrina has generated commercial structure damages of $21 Billion, commercial equipment damages of $36 Billion, residential structure and content damages of almost $75 Billion, electric utility damages of $231 Million, highway damages of $3 Billion, sewer system damages of $1.2 Billion and commercial revenue losses of $4.6 Billion. We are unable to estimate water system, and some key infrastructure damages at this point, and have not included the economic consequences of the loss of life or damage to the regions environmental amenities.