RISK ANALYSIS ON EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS OF PAKISTAN

RISK ANALYSIS ON EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS OF PAKISTAN
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巴基斯坦外债风险分析

DOI:
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发表时间:
2003
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
A. Waheed
A. Waheed
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
A. Waheed

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不断增加的外债和偿债负担正在成为巴基斯坦的一个经常关切的问题。本文件有两个目标。首先,介绍一个国家的外债概况,其次,使用指标法对外债进行风险分析。对外债格局和数额变化的审查以及对各种债务负担和偿债指数的认真分析表明,巴基斯坦可能不得不处理日益严重的债务问题。当我们查看各种关键绩效指标时,这一结论得到了进一步加强。该文件支持这样一种观点,即通过自愿债务减免减少巴基斯坦的债务水平符合债权人的利益,这将导致该国投资和增长的增加,从而增加对债权人的偿债支付。
The rising burden of external debt and debt-service payments is becoming a constant source of concern for Pakistan. This paper has two-fold objectives. First, to present an external debt profile of the c ountry, and second, to perform a risk analysis on external indebtedness using indica tor approach. A review of the changes in the pattern and levels of external debt and a careful analysis of various debt burden and debt-service indicators rev eal that Pakistan may have to deal with a growing debt problem. This conclusion i s further strengthened when we look at the various key performance indicators. The paper supports the view that it is in the interest of the creditors to redu ce the level of Pakistan’s debt through voluntary debt forgiveness which will resul t in an increase in investment and growth in the country and, subsequently, increa sed debt-service payments to the creditors.