COVID-19 in Italy: impact of containment measures and prevalence estimates of infection in the general population.
COVID-19 in Italy: impact of containment measures and prevalence estimates of infection in the general population.
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DOI：
10.23750/abm.v91i3-s.9511
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发表时间：
2020-04-10
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Odone A
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Signorelli C;Scognamiglio T;Odone A
自COVID-19疫情在意大利爆发以来，意大利政府实施了多项限制性措施以遏制感染蔓延。数据显示，在这些措施中，截至3月9日实施的封城措施产生了积极影响，特别是在意大利中部和南部地区，而其他行动似乎效果较差。当一种疾病的真实流行率未知时，可以根据死亡率数据和该疾病的假定病死率进行估计。鉴于这些假设，意大利的COVID-19估计期间患病率从西西里的0. 35%到伦巴第的13. 3%不等。
Since the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy, the Italian Government implemented several restrictive measures to contain the spread of the infection. Data shows that, among these measures, the lockdown implemented as of 9 March had a positive impact, in particular the central and southern regions of Italy, while other actions appeared to be less effective. When the true prevalence of a disease is unknown, it is possible estimate it, based on mortality data and the assumptive case-fatality rate of the disease. Given these assumptions, the estimated period-prevalence of COVID-19 in Italy varies from 0.35% in Sicily to 13.3% in Lombardy.