The Final Size of a Serious Epidemic
The Final Size of a Serious Epidemic
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DOI：
10.1007/s11538-018-00549-x
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发表时间：
2019-03-01
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
Brauer, Fred
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Brauer, Fred
在一场严重疾病的流行中，很可能存在行为反应，这会大大降低流行规模，考虑到这一点，可能会导致对最终流行规模的估计比不考虑这一点的估计要小得多，也更现实。
In an epidemic of a serious disease, there is likely to be behavioral response that decreases the epidemic size considerably, and taking this into account may lead to estimates of the final epidemic size that are much smaller and more realistic than estimates that do not take this into account.