Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
复制标题
虫媒病毒载体埃及伊蚊和白纹伊蚊过去和未来的传播
DOI：
10.1038/s41564-019-0376-y
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发表时间：
2019-05-01
影响因子：
28.3
通讯作者：
Golding, Nick
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Kraemer, Moritz U. G.;Reiner, Robert C., Jr.;Golding, Nick
全球面临蚊媒疾病风险的人口-包括登革热，黄热病，基孔肯雅病和寨卡病毒-正在随着两种关键媒介的分布变化而扩大：埃及伊蚊和白纹伊蚊。这些物种的分布在很大程度上受到人类活动和适宜气候的影响。使用统计映射技术，我们表明，人类运动模式解释了这两个物种在欧洲和美国的传播后，他们的介绍。我们发现AE的传播。aegypti具有远距离输入的特点，Ae.白纹伊蚊已经沿着其分布的边缘扩展。我们描述了这些过程，并预测了这两个物种的未来分布，以应对城市化，连通性和气候变化的加速。旨在减缓基孔肯雅热、登革热、黄热病和寨卡病毒传播的全球监测和控制工作必须考虑到这些蚊子迄今为止未减弱的传播。我们的地图和预测提供了一个机会，战略目标的监测和控制计划，从而加强努力，以减少全球人口中的虫媒病毒负担。
The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases-including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika-is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of Ae. aegypti is characterized by long distance importations, while Ae. albopictus has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally.