How COVID-19 and the Dutch 'intelligent lockdown' change activities, work and travel behaviour: Evidence from longitudinal data in the Netherlands
How COVID-19 and the Dutch 'intelligent lockdown' change activities, work and travel behaviour: Evidence from longitudinal data in the Netherlands
复制标题
DOI：
10.1016/j.trip.2020.100150
复制
发表时间：
2020-07-01
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Hamersma, Marije
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
de Haas, Mathijs;Faber, Roel;Hamersma, Marije
COVID-19严重影响了世界各地人们的生活。本文首次深入探讨了该病毒目前和未来的潜在影响，以及荷兰政府对人们活动和旅行行为的“智能封锁”。调查结果是基于荷兰流动小组（MPN）的约2500名受访者的代表性样本。我们发现，大约80%的人减少了户外活动，老年人的减少幅度更大。44%的员工开始或增加了在家工作的时间，30%的人有更多的远程会议。这些工人大多报告了积极的经验。然而，学生和中小学生大多不喜欢在家接受教育。此外，与2019年秋季相比，出行量和出行距离分别下降了55%和68%。所谓的“往返”（例如步行或骑自行车旅行）越来越受欢迎。人们目前对汽车更积极，对公共交通更消极。户外活动的变化似乎是暂时的，目前减少户外活动的人中有超过90%的人不希望在电晕后继续这种行为。然而，27%的在家工作者希望将来更经常在家工作。此外，20%的人希望在未来更多地骑自行车和步行，20%的人希望减少飞行。这些发现表明，冠状病毒危机可能导致结构性行为变化，尽管需要未来的纵向分析来观察这些可能的结构性影响。
COVID-19 has massively affected the lives of people all over the world. This paper presents first insights in current and potential future effects of the virus and the Dutch government's 'intelligent lockdown' on people's activities and travel behaviour. Findings are based on a representative sample of about 2500 respondents from the Netherlands Mobility Panel (MPN). We show that approximately 80% of people reduced their activities outdoors, with a stronger decrease for older people. 44% of workers started or increased the amount of hours working from home and 30% have more remote meetings. Most of these workers report positive experiences. Students and school pupils, however, are mostly not happy with following education from home. Furthermore, the amount of trips and distance travelled dropped by 55% and 68% respectively when compared to the fall of 2019. So-called 'roundtrips' (e.g. a walking or cycling tour) gained in popularity. People are currently more positive towards the car and far more negative towards public transport. Changes in outdoor activities seem to be temporal, with over 90% of people who currently reduced their outdoor activities not expecting to continue this behaviour in the future after corona. However, 27% of home-workers expect to work from home more often in the future. In addition, 20% of people expect to cycle and walk more and 20% expect to fly less in the future. These findings show that the coronavirus crisis might result in structural behavioural changes, although future longitudinal analyses are needed to observe these possible structural effects.