A Good Time to Stay Out? Strikes and the Business Cycle
A Good Time to Stay Out? Strikes and the Business Cycle
复制标题
外出的好时机？
DOI：
10.1111/j.1467-8543.2010.00800.x
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发表时间：
2011
影响因子：
2.6
通讯作者：
Devereux P
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Devereux P
在本文中，我们编制了一个独特的历史数据集，记录了1920年至1970年英国工程行业的罢工活动。这些数据的优势在于包含了一组相当同质的公司和蓝领工人。它们涵盖了一个长期的不同劳动力市场条件，包括能够添加工会和公司固定影响的信息，并提供地理细节，允许进行地区层面的分析，控制年度和季节性影响。我们研究了罢工持续时间、罢工发生率和罢工结果的周期性，并区分了有薪罢工和无薪罢工。我们发现证据表明，罢工工资有反周期的持续时间。然而，在战后时期，当包括工会和公司的固定影响时，与工资有关的罢工的影响程度大大降低。这些研究结果表明，在研究罢工持续时间时，必须考虑到在商业周期的不同阶段参与罢工的公司和工会类型的差异。我们还发现，当全国失业率较低时，罢工的结果往往更有利于工会。
In this article, we compile a unique historical dataset that records strike activity in the British engineering industry from 1920 to 1970. These data have the advantage of containing a fairly homogeneous set of companies and blue‐collar workers. They cover a long period with varying labour market conditions, include information that enables the addition of union and company fixed effects, and provide geographical detail that allows a district‐level analysis that controls for year and seasonal effects. We study the cyclicality of strike durations, strike incidence and strike outcomes, and distinguish between pay and non‐pay strikes. We find evidence that strikes over pay have countercyclical durations. However, in the post‐war period, the magnitude of this effect for pay‐related strikes is much reduced when union and firm fixed effects are included. These findings suggest that it is important when studying strike durations to take account of differences in the types of companies and unions that are involved in strikes at different points of the business cycle. We also find that strike outcomes tend to be more favourable to unions when the national unemployment rate is lower.