Dengue in a changing climate
Dengue in a changing climate
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DOI：
10.1016/j.envres.2016.07.026
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发表时间：
2016-11-01
影响因子：
8.3
通讯作者：
Nealon, Joshua
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Ebi, Kristie L.;Nealon, Joshua
就受影响的人数而言，登革热是世界上最重要的虫媒病毒疾病。在过去50年中，发病率增加了30倍：2010年约有3.9亿人感染。全球化、贸易、旅行、人口趋势和气温变暖与最近主要媒介埃及伊蚊和白纹伊蚊以及登革热的传播有关。总的来说，模型预测，新的地理区域沿着边缘的现有地理范围的伊蚊将成为环境适合蚊子的生命周期，登革热的传播。登革热可能进一步传播的许多流行国家的卫生系统不发达，增加了疾病预防和控制的重大挑战。控制的重点是伊蚊的管理，虽然这些努力通常在预防暴发方面的效果有限。需要采取新的预防和控制措施，以应对气候变化对登革热地理范围和发病率的潜在影响，包括新的病媒控制方法和登革热疫苗。(C)2016作者由爱思唯尔公司出版
Dengue is the world's most important arboviral disease in terms of number of people affected. Over the past 50 years, incidence increased 30-fold: there were approximately 390 million infections in 2010. Globalization, trade, travel, demographic trends, and warming temperatures are associated with the recent spread of the primary vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus and of dengue. Overall, models project that new geographic areas along the fringe of current geographic ranges for Aedes will become environmentally suitable for the mosquito's lifecycle, and for dengue transmission. Many endemic countries where dengue is likely to spread further have underdeveloped health systems, increasing the substantial challenges of disease prevention and control. Control focuses on management of Aedes, although these efforts have typically had limited effectiveness in preventing outbreaks. New prevention and control efforts are needed to counter the potential consequences of climate change on the geographic range and incidence of dengue, including novel methods of vector control and dengue vaccines. (C) 2016 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc.