The Public Thermostat, Political Responsiveness and Error-Correction: Border Control and Asylum in Britain, 1994–2007

The Public Thermostat, Political Responsiveness and Error-Correction: Border Control and Asylum in Britain, 1994–2007
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公共恒温器、政治反应和纠错:英国的边境管制和庇护,1994-2007

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发表时间:
2009
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通讯作者:
W. Jennings
W. Jennings
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文献类型:
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作者:
W. Jennings

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政府对其公民偏好的反应被认为是先进民主绩效的重要指标。本文认为,政策/舆情响应性的恒温模型可以用政策变量和舆情变量协整的纠错模型的形式来表示,并将研究重点延伸到政府产出。该模型模拟了公众舆论与政策/官僚产出之间相互作用的短期和长期均衡。本文评估了 1994 年至 2007 年间英国政府(尤其是内政部移民和国籍局)在边境管制和庇护申请管理方面的表现。
The responsiveness of government to the preferences of its citizens is considered to be an important indicator of the performance of advanced democracy. This article argues that the thermostatic model of policy/opinion responsiveness can be represented in the form of an error-correction model where policy and public opinion variables are cointegrated, and extends the focus of investigation to government outputs. This models the short-run and long-run equilibrium of interactions between public opinion and policy/bureaucratic outputs. The article assesses the performance of British government – and, in particular, the Immigration and Nationality Directorate of the Home Office – in the operation of border controls and administration of claims for asylum, for the period between 1994 and 2007.