Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes Cross-cultural Variations in Probability Judgment Accuracy: beyond General Knowledge Overconfidence?
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes Cross-cultural Variations in Probability Judgment Accuracy: beyond General Knowledge Overconfidence?
复制标题
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
--
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
J. F. Yates;Ju-Whei Lee;H. Shinotsuka;A. Patalano;Winston R. Sieck
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
J. F. Yates;Ju-Whei Lee;H. Shinotsuka;A. Patalano;Winston R. Sieck
先前的研究揭示了过度自信的惊人和持久的跨文化差异，一些亚洲文化的受访者（例如，中国人）表现出明显高于其他文化（如，在美国和日本）。这些演示大多涉及一般知识任务（例如，我们特别感谢Kevin Biolsi在这里描述的实验程序中提供的帮助，以及Jonathan Emmett，LeAnn Franke和Joe Magee在收集和处理数据方面的帮助。我们也感谢我们与密歇根州文化和认知项目的其他成员就这项研究进行的有益讨论，以及Ido Erev和一位匿名评论者对本文以前版本的评论。
Previous studies have revealed surprising and persistent cross-cultural variations in overconfidence, whereby respondents in some Asian cultures (e.g., Chinese) exhibit markedly higher degrees of overconfidence than respondents in other cultures (e.g., in the United States and Japan). Most of those demonstrations have entailed general knowledge tasks (e.g., answering We are especially grateful to Kevin Biolsi for his assistance in programming the experiments described here and to Jonathan Emmett, LeAnn Franke, and Joe Magee for their help in collecting and processing the data. We also appreciate the useful discussions we have had about this research with other members of the Michigan Culture and Cognition Program as well as the comments on a previous version of this article provided by Ido Erev and an anonymous reviewer.