British Public Confidence in MI6 and Government Use of Intelligence: The Effect on Support for Preventive Military Action
British Public Confidence in MI6 and Government Use of Intelligence: The Effect on Support for Preventive Military Action
复制标题
英国公众对军情六处和政府情报使用的信心：对支持预防性军事行动的影响
DOI：
10.1080/02684527.2012.708520
复制
发表时间：
2012
影响因子：
1.2
通讯作者：
Davies G
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Davies G
公众对情报的看法直接源于2003年美英入侵伊拉克之前情报估计的高度政治化性质，这引起了相当大的担忧。在这篇文章中，我们使用一个新的公众态度数据集，提供有史以来第一次分析英国公众对军情六处和政府使用情报的信心。这篇文章表明，公众对军情六处提供的情报有相当高的信心，但对政府如何提供这些情报却极为怀疑。使用有序logit模型，本文然后研究了影响公众对情报和政府的看法的因素，发现女性在情报服务和政府的情报介绍方面比男性更不自信，这可能有助于解释支持军事行动的性别差异。该研究还表明，政党识别人员和天主教徒对军情六处提供的情报的信心非常低。研究表明，公众对政府和情报机构的信心对支持针对恐怖营地的预防性军事行动有很大影响，这表明，如果未来军事行动的情报案例要得到公众的支持，情报机构需要尽可能避免受到政治议程的污染。
There are considerable concerns about public perceptions of intelligence stemming directly from the highly politicized nature of intelligence estimates in the run-up to the US-UK invasion of Iraq in 2003. In this article we use a new public attitudes dataset to provide the first ever analysis of British public confidence in MI6 and Government use of intelligence. The article demonstrates that the public have relatively high confidence in the intelligence produced by MI6 but are extremely sceptical about how the Government will present that intelligence. Using an ordered logit model this article then examines the factors that influence public perceptions of both intelligence and Government, finding that women are a lot less confident in both the intelligence services and government presentation of intelligence than men, suggesting that this might help explain gender differences in support for military action. The study also demonstrates that party identifiers and Catholics have very low confidence in the intelligence produced by MI6. The study shows that public confidence in both government and intelligence has a strong effect on support for preventive military action against terror camps, suggesting that the intelligence agencies need to avoid being contaminated by political agendas as much as possible if the intelligence case for future military actions is to be supported by the public.