VIOLENCE AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN COLOMBIAN CITIES: A DYNAMIC PANEL DATA ANALYSIS
VIOLENCE AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN COLOMBIAN CITIES: A DYNAMIC PANEL DATA ANALYSIS
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DOI：
10.1002/jid.2819
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发表时间：
2012-10-01
影响因子：
1.4
通讯作者：
Cotte Poveda, Alexander
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Cotte Poveda, Alexander
本文研究了哥伦比亚七个最重要城市暴力的社会经济决定因素。源自经典著作中的理论，包括贝克尔的范式、犯罪惯性、社会混乱、都市主义和紧张，我们提出了几个关于暴力的社会经济决定因素的假说。为了检验这些假设，本文采用了动态面板数据分析方法。分析表明，城市贫困和高人口密度是凶杀率的有力预测因素。比较哥伦比亚各城市的结果，我们发现支持表明城市一级的凶杀率受到城市发展水平的影响。此外，我们发现有证据表明，经济增长、不平等、贫困和人力资本影响了所研究城市的暴力，这可能对哥伦比亚的经济和社会发展产生负面影响。版权所有(C)2012 John Wiley&Sons，Ltd.
This paper studies the socio-economic determinants of violence in the seven most important cities in Colombia. Derived from theories rooted in classic works, including Becker's paradigm, criminal inertia, social disorganisation, urbanism and strain, we formulate several hypotheses on the socio-economic determinants of violence. To test these hypotheses, a dynamic panel data analysis is employed. The analysis shows that cities deprivation and high population density are strong predictors of homicide rates. Comparing the results among Colombian cities, we find support indicating that city-level homicide rates are influenced by the city's level of development. Moreover, we find evidence that economic growth, inequality, poverty and human capital influence violence in the cities studied, which could generate negative effects on the economic and social development of Colombia. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.