Export Sophistication and Economic Performance: Evidence from Chinese Provinces

Export Sophistication and Economic Performance: Evidence from Chinese Provinces
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发表时间:
2009-12
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通讯作者:
J. Jarreau;Sandra Poncet
J. Jarreau;Sandra Poncet
中科院分区:
其他
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作者:
J. Jarreau;Sandra Poncet

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我们考虑的出口复杂性对经济表现的影响,使用一个国家(中国)在1997-2007年期间的区域差异。我们证实了豪斯曼、黄禹锡和罗德里克(2007)的预测,即参与开发尖端产品的成本发现过程的地区从全球化中获得了更大的收益,增长也更快。我们发现,这些收益仅限于国内实体开展的出口活动。直接收益似乎并不来自通常从事加工贸易的外国实体,尽管它们是中国出口全球升级的主要贡献者。我们在全球范围内的研究结果表明,出口生产率更高的产品的预期收益不是无条件的,对于那些已经拥有高收入,更好的市场中心地位,更高的贸易表现和外国直接投资吸引力的省份来说,这些收益更大。不幸的是,这些特征与先进性回报增加的证据相一致,可能会进一步加剧目前中国各地经济空间差异的扩大。
We consider the effect of export sophistication on economic performance using regional variations within a single country (China) over the period 1997-2007. We confirm Hausmann, Hwang and Rodrik (2007)’s prediction that regions that engage in the cost discovery process of developing sophisticated goods grasp greater gains from globalization and grow faster. We find that these gains are limited to to export activities undertaken by domestic entities. Direct gains do not appear to derive from foreign entities typically engaged in processing trade even though they are the main contributors to the global upgrading of China’s exports. Our findings globally suggest that the expected gains from exporting higher productivity goods are not unconditional, they are greater for provinces already blessed by high incomes, better market centrality and higher trade performance and Foreign Direct Investment attractiveness. These features consistent with evidence of increasing returns to sophistication are unfortunately likely to contribute further to the current widening of spatial economic disparities across China.