The Adams family

The Adams family
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DOI:
10.1016/j.cognition.2010.08.015
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发表时间:
2010-12-01
期刊:
影响因子:
3.4
通讯作者:
Verbrugge, Sara
Verbrugge, Sara
中科院分区:
心理学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Douven, Igor;Verbrugge, Sara

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根据亚当斯的论点,指示性条件句的可接受性取决于其后果句在给定其先行词的情况下的条件概率。我们第一次检验了这篇论文是否在描述性上是正确的,并证明了它是不正确的;特别是,我们证明了它对人们对推理条件句类的重要子类的可接受性的判断产生了错误的预测。实验结果表明,一方面,条件的前件和后件之间的推理联系的类型与条件的可接受性之间存在交互作用;另一方面,条件的可接受性与其后件的条件概率之间存在交互作用。具体地说,这些结果提出了一系列关于条件句如何与相关条件概率相关的论文,每一篇论文都与一种不同类型的条件句有关。(C)2010爱思唯尔B.V.保留所有权利。
According to Adams's Thesis, the acceptability of an indicative conditional sentence goes by the conditional probability of its consequent given its antecedent. We test, for the first time, whether this thesis is descriptively correct and show that it is not; in particular, we show that it yields the wrong predictions for people's judgments of the acceptability of important subclasses of the class of inferential conditionals. Experimental results are presented that reveal an interaction effect between, on the one hand, the type of inferential connection between a conditional's antecedent and its consequent and, on the other, the judged acceptability of the conditional in relation to the conditional probability of its consequent given its antecedent. Specifically, these results suggest a family of theses, each pertaining to a different type of conditional, about how conditionals relate to the relevant conditional probabilities. (C) 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.