Proposal of a modified cancer of the liver Italian program staging system based on the model for end-stage liver disease for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing loco-regional therapy

Proposal of a modified cancer of the liver Italian program staging system based on the model for end-stage liver disease for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing loco-regional therapy
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DOI:
10.1111/j.1572-0241.2006.00462.x
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发表时间:
2006-05-01
影响因子:
9.8
通讯作者:
Lee, Shou-Dong
Lee, Shou-Dong
中科院分区:
医学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Huo, Teh-Ia;Huang, Yi-Hsiang;Lee, Shou-Dong

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背景:意大利肝癌计划(CLIP)系统被认为是肝细胞癌(HCC)的主要分期系统。与child - turcote - pugh (CTP)系统相比,终末期肝病(MELD)模型是肝硬化患者更好的预后预测器,child - turcote - pugh是CLIP模型中使用的一个参数。目的:研究改良的基于meld的CLIP系统的性能。方法:将CLIP模型中的CTP分级替换为MELD评分(< 10、10-14、> 14;改良的CLIP-1),或对MELD评分为10-14或> 14的患者分别给予1分或2分(改良的CLIP-2)。在343例接受局部-区域治疗的HCC患者中,将改良的CLIP系统与原始系统进行了比较。结果:所有患者的原始CLIP评分为1.2 +/- 1.1(范围0-5),而改良的CLIP-1模型为1.4 +/- 1.2(范围0-5),改良的CLIP-2模型为1.7 +/- 1.4(范围0-6)(p < 0.001)。以死亡率为终点,12个月时改良CLIP-2系统的受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.858,改良CLIP-1系统为0.812 (p = 0.013),原始CLIP系统为0.782 (p < 0.001);24个月时,面积分别为0.879、0.830、0.762 (p均< 0.001)。生存分析表明,改良的CLIP系统对不同评分组具有更好的长期区分能力。结论:CLIP模型可用于预测接受局部-区域治疗的HCC患者的预后。基于meld的改良CLIP系统可能比原始的癌症分期模型具有更好的预测能力。
BACKGROUND: The Cancer of Liver Italian Program (CLIP) system was suggested as the primary staging system for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) is a better prognostic predictor for cirrhotic patients compared to Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) system, which is a parameter used in the CLIP model.AIM: To investigate the performance of the modified MELD-based CLIP systems.METHODS: The CTP class in the CLIP model was replaced with MELD score (< 10, 10-14, > 14; modified CLIP-1), or additional 1 or 2 points were given to patients with MELD score 10-14 or > 14, respectively (modified CLIP-2). The modified CLIP systems were compared with the original system in 343 HCC patients undergoing loco-regional therapy.RESULTS: The original CLIP score in all patients was 1.2 +/- 1.1 (range 0-5), compared with 1.4 +/- 1.2 (range 0-5) for modified CLIP-1 and 1.7 +/- 1.4 (range 0-6) for modified CLIP-2 models (p < 0.001). Using mortality as the endpoint, the area under receiver operating characteristic curve for modified CLIP-2 system was 0.858 compared with 0.812 for modified CLIP-1 (p = 0.013) and 0.782 for original CLIP system (p < 0.001) at 12 months; the area was 0.879, 0.830, and 0.762, respectively (p all < 0.001) at 24 months. Survival analysis showed that the modified CLIP systems had a better long-term discriminatory ability for different score groups.CONCLUSIONS: The CLIP model is useful to predict the outcome in HCC patients undergoing loco-regional therapy. The MELD-based modified CLIP systems may have a better predictive ability than the original model for cancer staging.