The Middle East and North Africa’s Resilient Monarchs
The Middle East and North Africa’s Resilient Monarchs
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中东和北非坚韧的君主国
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发表时间：
2014
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通讯作者：
MenaldoVictor
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作者：
MenaldoVictor
本文有助于解释在阿拉伯之春期间中东和北非观察到的政治动荡的变化。该地区的君主制国家基本上没有暴力，而“共和国”则没有。一个关于君主制政治文化如何解决统治者可信承诺问题的理论解释了为什么会出现这种情况。使用中东和北非国家的面板数据集（1950-2006），我表明君主比非君主更不可能经历政治不稳定，这一结果在几个方面都成立。他们也更有可能尊重法治和产权，发展经济。通过使用一个工具变量来代表部落主义的遗产，即新石器时代革命以来土地质量加权的时间，我表明这个结果从君主制到政治稳定。对于其他政治解释和国家固定效应，结果也很稳健。
This article helps explain the variation in political turmoil observed in the MENA during the Arab Spring. The region’s monarchies have been largely spared of violence while the “republics” have not. A theory about how a monarchy’s political culture solves a ruler’s credible commitment problem explains why this has been the case. Using a panel dataset of the MENA countries (1950–2006), I show that monarchs are less likely than nonmonarchs to experience political instability, a result that holds across several measures. They are also more likely to respect the rule of law and property rights and grow their economies. Through the use of an instrumental variable that proxies for a legacy of tribalism, the time that has elapsed since the Neolithic Revolution weighted by Land Quality, I show that this result runs from monarchy to political stability. The results are also robust to alternative political explanations and country fixed effects.