Heat Decarbonisation Modelling Approaches in the UK: An Energy System Architecture Perspective

Heat Decarbonisation Modelling Approaches in the UK: An Energy System Architecture Perspective
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英国的热脱碳建模方法:能源系统架构视角

DOI:
10.3390/en13081869
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发表时间:
2020
期刊:
影响因子:
3.2
通讯作者:
["Daniel Scamman
["Daniel Scamman
中科院分区:
工程技术4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
["Daniel Scamman

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能源模型已被广泛应用于能源系统脱碳分析,以评估向低碳供应过渡的选择和成本。然而,问题仍然存在,他们是否能够有效地代表和评估建筑行业的热脱碳途径。已经查明了一系列局限性,包括时空分辨率差、行为表现有限以及整套技术选项的表现有限。本文回顾了英国现有的热脱碳能源模型,应用能源系统架构(ESA)的新视角。确定了一组ESA相关的功能(包括可演化性,灵活性,鲁棒性和可行性),并根据这些功能对模型进行了审查。审查发现,存在一系列模型,这些模型在ESA的不同特征中具有优势,这表明需要多种建模方法来充分解决热脱碳挑战。然而,也存在改进现有模型和开发新方法的机会,因此提出了一个研究议程。
Energy models have been widely applied to the analysis of energy system decarbonisation to assess the options and costs of a transition to a low carbon supply. However, questions persist as to whether they are able to effectively represent and assess heat decarbonisation pathways for the buildings sector. A range of limitations have been identified, including a poor spatio-temporal resolution, limited representation of behaviour, and restricted representation of the full technical option set. This paper undertakes a review of existing energy models for heat decarbonisation in the UK, applying the novel perspective of energy system architecture (ESA). A set of ESA-related features are identified (including evolvability, flexibility, robustness, and feasibility), and models are reviewed against these features. The review finds that a range of models exist that have strengths across different features of ESA, suggesting that multiple modelling approaches are needed in order to adequately address the heat decarbonisation challenge. However, opportunities to improve existing models and develop new approaches also exist, and a research agenda is therefore proposed.
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