Do your neighbors affect your bicycling choice? A spatial probit model for bicycling to The Ohio State University

Do your neighbors affect your bicycling choice? A spatial probit model for bicycling to The Ohio State University
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DOI:
10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2014.12.003
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发表时间:
2015
影响因子:
6.1
通讯作者:
Chih-Hao Wang;Gulsah Akar;J. Guldmann
Chih-Hao Wang;Gulsah Akar;J. Guldmann
中科院分区:
工程技术2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Chih-Hao Wang;Gulsah Akar;J. Guldmann

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邻里社会效应是近年来交通研究的一个热点,交通方式的选择不仅受个人的特征和交通系统条件的影响,而且还受个人的社会邻居的方式选择的影响。这项研究使用了空间计量经济学方法和俄亥俄州立大学(OSU)2012年校园交通调查的数据,支持了社区社会影响的论点。考虑到空间自相关性,估计了通勤者出行方式选择(骑自行车与不骑自行车)的空间概率模型。结果表明,与俄亥俄州立大学有关联的骑车者居住在一个俄亥俄州立大学通勤者周围的人越多,骑自行车的人就越有吸引力,并控制了性别、身份、离校园的距离、自行车基础设施和态度等其他因素。结果表明,学生和男性更倾向于骑自行车上下班。选择自行车的概率随着离校园距离的增加而降低。此外,靠近自行车基础设施和物理环境都鼓励受访者骑自行车。安全感、出行成本和对环境的关注也会影响骑行选择。
Neighborhood social effects have recently become a focus of interest in transportation research, whereby transportation mode choice is not only affected by an individual’s characteristics and transportation system conditions, but also by the mode choices of that individual’s social neighbors. This study supports the neighborhood social effects argument, using a spatial econometrics approach and data from The Ohio State University (OSU) 2012 Campus Transportation Survey. A spatial probit model of commuters’ mode choices (bicycling versus non-bicycling) is estimated, accounting for spatial autocorrelation. The results show that the more OSU-affiliated bicycle riders are residing around an individual OSU commuter, the more attractive bicycling becomes, controlling for other factors such as gender, status, proximity to campus, bicycle infrastructure and attitudes. The results indicate that students and males are more likely to commute by bicycles. The probability of choosing bicycles decreases with distance from campus. In addition, proximity to bicycle infrastructure and physical environment both encourage respondents to bicycle. Feeling of safety, travel cost and concern for the environment also affect bicycling choice.