[Correlations between climate change-related infectious diseases and meteorological factors in Korea].
[Correlations between climate change-related infectious diseases and meteorological factors in Korea].
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DOI：
10.3961/jpmph.2010.43.5.436
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发表时间：
2010-09-01
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Jang, Jae Yeon
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Kim, Si Heon;Jang, Jae Yeon
目标：众所周知，传染病受到气候变化的影响。调查韩国传染病是否与气象因素有关。方法:选择国家法定传染病中的斑疹伤寒、肾综合征出血热(HFRS)、钩端螺旋体病、疟疾和创伤弧菌败血症作为与气候变化相关的传染病。温度、相对湿度和降水量被用作气象因子。研究期间为2001年至2008年。我们研究了疾病的季节性以及与气象因素的相关性。我们还分析了高流行地区暴发期间疾病的发病率与每月气象因素的相关性。结果：所有调查的疾病都表现出较强的季节性；夏季流行疟疾和创伤弧菌败血症，秋季流行恙虫病、HFRS和钩端螺旋体病。疟疾和创伤弧菌败血症的月发病数与所有气象因素之间存在显着相关性，而其他疾病则没有相关性。然而，高流行地区恙虫病暴发期间的发病率与夏季的温度和湿度呈正相关。 HFRS和钩端螺旋体病的发病率分别与11月降水量和2月气温、湿度呈正相关。创伤弧菌脓毒症与4月、5月、7月降水量呈正相关。结论：在韩国，传染病的发病与气象因素相关，这表明其发病可能受到气候变化的影响。
OBJECTIVES: Infectious diseases are known to be affected by climate change. We investigated if the infectious diseases were related to meteorological factors in Korea.METHODS: Scrub typhus, hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS), leptospirosis, malaria and Vibrio vulnificus sepsis among the National Notifiable Infectious Diseases were selected as the climate change-related infectious diseases. Temperature, relative humidity and precipitation were used as meteorological factors. The study period was from 2001 through 2008. We examined the seasonality of the diseases and those correlations with meteorological factors. We also analyzed the correlations between the incidences of the diseases during the outbreak periods and monthly meteorological factors in the hyper-endemic regions.RESULTS: All of the investigated diseases showed strong seasonality; malaria and V. vulnificus sepsis were prevalent in summer and scrub typhus, HFRS and leptospirosis were prevalent in the autumn. There were significant correlations between the monthly numbers of cases and all the meteorological factors for malaria and V. vulnificus sepsis, but there were no correlation for the other diseases. However, the incidence of scrub typhus in hyper-endemic region during the outbreak period was positively correlated with temperature and humidity during the summer. The incidences of HFRS and leptospirosis had positive correlations with precipitation in November and temperature and humidity in February, respectively. V. vulnificus sepsis showed positive correlations with precipitation in April/May/July.CONCLUSIONS: In Korea, the incidences of the infectious diseases were correlated with meteorological factors, and this implies that the incidences could be influenced by climate change.