Effect of extreme weather events on injury, disability, and death in Bangladesh
Effect of extreme weather events on injury, disability, and death in Bangladesh
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DOI：
10.1080/17565529.2020.1772705
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发表时间：
2020-06-27
影响因子：
4.3
通讯作者：
Szabo, Sylvia
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Ahmed, Sayem;Hasan, Md Zahid;Szabo, Sylvia
虽然越来越多的证据表明全球和孟加拉国都存在气候变化的趋势和影响，但关于自然灾害对人口健康的影响及其与社会经济特征的关联的量化分析有限。使用《孟加拉国灾难相关统计-2015》中的数据，我们评估了与灾难相关的健康结果，即受伤、残疾和死亡。我们应用三个Logistic回归模型来检验个人社会经济特征、报告的灾害相关伤害、残疾和死亡之间的关系。我们的研究发现，2009年至2014年，孟加拉国每10,000人中有145.9人因灾害受伤，14.4人残疾，21.0人死亡。洪水造成的伤害、残疾和死亡比例最高，其次是雷雨。与成年人相比，老年人和儿童更有可能遭受与灾难相关的伤害。备灾是与灾害有关的伤害和残疾的保护性因素。我们观察了孟加拉国各地区受伤、残疾和死亡人数的地理差异。政策制定者可以利用研究结果来加强对与快速变化的气候有关的极端天气事件的风险监测、评估和准备战略和行动。
While there is increasing evidence on the trends and impacts of climate change, both globally and in Bangladesh, there is a limited quantitative analysis on the impacts of natural disasters on population health and the association with socio-economic characteristics. Using data from the 'Bangladesh Disaster-Related Statistics-2015', we assessed disaster-related health outcomes namely, injury, disability, and death. We applied three logistic regression models to examine the relationships between individual socio-economic characteristics, reported disaster-related injury, disability, and death. Our study found that 145.9 disaster-related injuries, 14.4 disabilities, and 21.0 deaths per 100,000 population were reported in Bangladesh over 2009-2014. Floods were responsible for the highest percentage of injury, disability, and death followed by thunderstorms. The elderly and children were more likely to suffer from disaster-related injuries compared to adults. Disaster preparedness was a protective factor for both disasters related injury and disability. We observed geographic variation in the number of injuries, disability, and death across the districts in Bangladesh. Policy-makers can use the study findings to strengthen risk-monitoring, assessment, and preparedness strategies and actions for extreme weather events related to the rapidly changing climate.