Danger Need Not Spell Disaster But How Vulnerable are We
Danger Need Not Spell Disaster But How Vulnerable are We
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发表时间：
2005-01
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通讯作者：
J. Birkmann
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作者：
J. Birkmann
这项研究摘自联合国大学出版社2006年拟出版的一本书，该书探讨了我们对自然灾害的脆弱性，并探讨了采取先发制人而非被动应对自然灾害的机会。世界可能会突然将注意力转向卡特里娜飓风和亚洲海啸等灾难的受害者，但到那时灾难已经袭来，而我们却没有做好准备。这份文件提出了关于脆弱性本质的重要问题。我们如何定义脆弱——我们的定义是指我们在灾难发生前的脆弱程度，还是灾难发生后的应对能力，还是两者兼而有之？我们怎样才能准确地衡量脆弱性，我们怎样才能开始使社会——从地方社区到整个世界——更具抗灾能力的进程？
This research is extracted from a book proposed for publication by United Nations University Press in 2006 that examines our vulnerability to hazards of natural origin, and explores the opportunities for adopting a pre-emptive rather than a reactive approach to natural disasters. The world may suddenly turn its attention to the suffering victims of catastrophes such as Hurricane Katrina and the Asian Tsunami, but by that time the disaster has already struck and we have failed to prepare for it. This document asks important questions about the very nature of vulnerability. How do we define vulnerability—does our definition relate to how susceptible we are before a disaster or how well we cope afterwards, or both? How can we measure vulnerability accurately, and how can we begin the process of making society—from local communities to the whole world—more disaster-resilient?