Reaching Out or Pulling Back: Macroeconomic Conditions and Public Support for Social Welfare Spending

Reaching Out or Pulling Back: Macroeconomic Conditions and Public Support for Social Welfare Spending
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伸出还是收回:宏观经济状况和公众对社会福利支出的支持

DOI:
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发表时间:
2008
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Y. Nam
Y. Nam
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
Cindy D. Kam;Y. Nam

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在经济困难时期,美国人是要求增加政府援助,还是要求减少政府援助?我们通过确定国家层面的宏观经济条件对公众支持社会福利支出的影响来解决这个问题。我们分析了1984-2000年全国选举研究中的个人层面数据,并结合了国家层面的宏观经济指标,如通货膨胀、失业率和生产率。我们发现,州级通货膨胀,而不是州级失业率或州级生产率,持续且必然地影响着公民对社会福利的支持。随着通货膨胀的加剧,美国人越来越支持经过经济状况调查的社会福利支出。我们的分析总体上重申了美国人对社会福利安全网的重视,尤其是在经济危机时期。当事情变得艰难时,美国人伸出援手,而不是退缩。
In economic hard-times, do Americans call for increases in governmental assistance, or do they clamor for declines in government assistance? We address this question by identifying the impact of state-level macroeconomic conditions on public support for social welfare spending. We analyze individual-level data from the 1984–2000 National Election Studies, combined with state-level macroeconomic indicators of inflation, unemployment, and productivity. We find that state-level inflation, not state-level unemployment nor state-level productivity, consistently and consequentially shapes citizens’ support for social welfare. With rising inflation, Americans become more supportive of means-tested social welfare spending. Our analyses generally reaffirm the value Americans place on the social welfare safety net, especially during times of economic duress. When the going gets tough, Americans reach out, rather than pull back.