GROWTH WITH REGULATION IN RANDOM ENVIRONMENT
GROWTH WITH REGULATION IN RANDOM ENVIRONMENT
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DOI:
10.1007/bf00274586
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发表时间:
1974-01-01
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
RICCIARDI, LM
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
CAPOCELLI, RM;RICCIARDI, LM
The diffusion model for a population subject to Malthusian growth is generalized to include regulation effects. This is done by incorporating a logarithmic term in the regulation function in a way to obtain, in the absence of noise, anS-shaped growth law retaining the qualitative features of the logistic growth curve. The growth phenomenon is modeled as a diffusion process whose transition p.d.f. is obtained in closed form. Its steady state behavior turns out to be described by the lognormal distribution. The expected values and the mode of the transition p.d.f. are calculated, and it is proved that their time course is also represented by monotonically increasing functions asymptotically approaching saturation values. The first passage time problem is then considered. The Laplace transform of the first passage time p.d.f. is obtained for arbitrary thresholds and is used to calculate the expected value of the first passage time. The inverse Laplace transform is then determined for a threshold equal to the saturation value attained by the population size in the absence of random components. The probability of absorption for an arbitrary barrier is finally calculated as the limit of the absorption probability in a two-barrier problem.