Scorecard and Insights From Approaches to Liver Allocation Around the World
Scorecard and Insights From Approaches to Liver Allocation Around the World
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DOI:
10.1002/lt.24631
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发表时间:
2016-11-01
影响因子:
4.6
通讯作者:
Clavien, Pierre A.
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Dutkowski, Phillip;Clavien, Pierre A.
Scarce supply of resources has triggered allocation of liver grafts by medical needs in several countries, as estimated by the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. This decision was based on the superiority of MELD in terms of prediction of wait-list mortality, compared with the previous Child-Turcotte-Pugh scoring or other scores in liver cirrhosis, and enables simple and more objective assessment.(1) Since 2002, MELD was consecutively adopted by United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) for prioritization of liver transplant candidates in the United States, followed by North Italian transplant (2006), Eurotransplant (2006), Canada (2004-2006), France (2007), Switzerland (2007), Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, and Czech Republic. Outside of Europe, MELD allocation is also used in Israel and South America, eg, Brazil and Argentina. Notably, waiting time is applied only for patients with equal score, and MELD is generally capped at 40, as all patients at this level or higher disclosed comparable high mortality.(1) In contrast, a center allocation policy remains more popular in other parts of Europe, preferably in countries with higher donation rates, such as Spain, Portugal, Scanditransplant, United Kingdom, Turkey, Romania, Balttransplant, with some freedom to use the graft to a presumed “best” recipient, besides considering waiting time.Although MELD policy has resulted in fewer patients being listed for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) and also fewer deaths on the waiting list, this concept has raised concerns, whether organs are being distributed to candidates who are too sick for liver transplantation.(1-3) Scores have therefore been developed to predict futile outcome, with varying combinations of donor and/or recipient factors, including MELD, such as D-MELD (defined by donor age 3 recipient MELD),(4) Delta MELD,(5) Donor Risk Index (DRI),(6) Survival Outcome Following Liver Transplantation (SOFT),(7) Balance of Risk (BAR) score,(3) University of California Los Angeles Futility Risk Score (UCLA-FRS),(8) and survival benefit analysis.(9, 10) However, refusing a liver offer for a liver transplant candidate has remained a major challenge.(11) Although the thresholds of DRI (1.4) and D-MELD (1600) are probably too low, with exclusion of many grafts or transplant candidates,(4, 6, 12) the SOFT threshold at 35 or 40 for futile liver transplantation (7) appears rather high, targeting only 0.1%-1% of listed patients in the United States (Table 1).(3, 7) Furthermore, mortality or graft loss increase linearly with increasing points in most scores, such as DRI, D-MELD, and also SOFT (4) making validation of a threshold to deny transplantation difficult. The only model that implicates currently an exponential increase in posttransplant mortality with