Social Choice with Partial Knowledge of Treatment Response
Social Choice with Partial Knowledge of Treatment Response
复制标题
对治疗反应有部分了解的社会选择
DOI：
10.2307/j.ctv14164s1
复制
发表时间：
2020
影响因子：
6.1
通讯作者：
C. Manski
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
C. Manski
textabstract经济学家长期以来一直试图了解“治疗”对某些结果的影响
兴趣，就像医生对待病人一样。研究的中心实际目标
治疗反应的目的是为决策者提供有用的信息
选择治疗方法。通常决策者是社会规划者，他必须选择
针对异质人群的治疗方法——例如，医生选择医疗
对不同患者的治疗或法官为已定罪的罪犯选择刑罚。
但有关治疗反应的研究很少提供规划者需要的所有信息
想要拥有。那么规划者应该如何利用现有的证据来选择
治疗？
本书解决了这个广泛问题的关键方面，探索并部分
解决普遍存在的识别和统计推断问题
研究治疗反应并做出治疗选择。查尔斯·曼斯基地址
直接使用亚伯拉罕·沃尔德的统计决策来解决治疗选择问题
理论，考虑到识别问题引起的歧义
在弱但合理的假设下。本书统一并进一步发展了
作者于 20 世纪 90 年代末开始了一项颇具影响力的研究。这将是一个有价值的
为经济学研究人员和高年级研究生提供资源
其他社会科学、统计学、流行病学和公共卫生相关领域，以及
运筹学。
查尔斯·F·曼斯基（Charles F. Manski）是西北大学经济学董事会教授
大学。他是四本书的作者，其中包括部分识别
社会科学中的概率分布和识别问题。
textabstractEconomists have long sought to learn the effect of a "treatment" on some outcome of
interest, just as doctors do with their patients. A central practical objective of research
on treatment response is to provide decision makers with information useful in
choosing treatments. Often the decision maker is a social planner who must choose
treatments for a heterogeneous population--for example, a physician choosing medical
treatments for diverse patients or a judge choosing sentences for convicted offenders.
But research on treatment response rarely provides all the information that planners
would like to have. How then should planners use the available evidence to choose
treatments?
This book addresses key aspects of this broad question, exploring and partially
resolving pervasive problems of identification and statistical inference that arise when
studying treatment response and making treatment choices. Charles Manski addresses
the treatment-choice problem directly using Abraham Wald's statistical decision
theory, taking into account the ambiguity that arises from identification problems
under weak but justifiable assumptions. The book unifies and further develops the
influential line of research the author began in the late 1990s. It will be a valuable
resource to researchers and upper-level graduate students in economics as well as
other social sciences, statistics, epidemiology and related areas of public health, and
operations research.
Charles F. Manski is Board of Trustees Professor of Economics at Northwestern
University. He is the author of four books, including Partial Identification of
Probability Distributions and Identification Problems in the Social Sciences.