Review of Wind Models at a Local Scale: Advantages and Disadvantages
Review of Wind Models at a Local Scale: Advantages and Disadvantages
复制标题
局部范围内风模型的回顾：优点和缺点
DOI：
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发表时间：
2021
影响因子：
2.9
通讯作者：
J. J. Muñoz
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Felix P. Martinez;Antonio Contreras;J. J. Muñoz
风力预报之所以被广泛传播，是因为风力发电量的增长，但也因为还有其他需要考虑的应用，例如关于全球变暖影响的长期情景预报。总体而言，全球环流模式(GCM)在大尺度上为未来情景提供信息方面取得了重大进展，但局部尺度上的风预测仍然是一个尚未完全解决的问题。应该有可能以一定的精度估计近场的风，这对于诸如在风力发电场吹入射风、在移动的沙丘上的风或在港口吹的风等方面是很有趣的。因此，需要一个局地尺度的数据驱动的风传输方程。在这些结论中，值得指出的是，统计降尺度技术适合在小尺度上作为统计推断应用。因此，本文件的目的是回顾目前使用的方法和技术，并展示不同的方法及其在该领域的应用。其他目标将是确定当前模型在当地规模的优点、缺点或局限性，并提出研究以找到可能的改进。
Wind forecasts are widely spread because of the growth in wind power, but also because there are other applications to consider, such as the long-term scenario forecasts regarding the effects of global warming. Overall, there have been big developments in global circulation models (GCM) that inform future scenarios at the large scale, but wind forecast at a local scale is a problem that has not totally been solved. It should be possible to estimate the winds in the near field with a certain accuracy, which is interesting for aspects such as the blowing of incident wind at wind farms, the wind on a dune in movement, or the wind blowing in a harbour. Therefore, a data-driven wind transference equation at a local scale is needed. Among the conclusions, it is worthy to state that the statistical downscaling techniques are suitable for application as a statistical inference at small scales. The aim of this paper is therefore to review the current methods and techniques used and show the different methodologies and their applications in the field. Additional targets will be to identify the advantages, disadvantages, or limitations of the current models at the local scale and propose research to find possible improvements.
区域气候模式降水对环流格局的调节模式输出统计
影响因子：
2.2
作者：
Wetterhall F
通讯作者：
Wetterhall F