Impaired pancreatic beta cell compensatory function is the main cause of type 2 diabetes in individuals with high genetic risk: a 9 year prospective cohort study in the Chinese population
Impaired pancreatic beta cell compensatory function is the main cause of type 2 diabetes in individuals with high genetic risk: a 9 year prospective cohort study in the Chinese population
复制标题
DOI:
10.1007/s00125-016-3939-y
复制
发表时间:
2016-07-01
期刊:
影响因子:
8.2
通讯作者:
Jia, Weiping
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Yan, Jing;Peng, Danfeng;Jia, Weiping
Aims/hypothesis We aimed to evaluate the combined effects of type 2 diabetes risk variants on predicting deterioration of blood glucose and progression of beta cell function and insulin sensitivity in a 9 year prospective cohort from the Chinese population.Methods We constructed a weighted genetic risk score (GRS) model based on 40 variants associated with type 2 diabetes validated in an established cross-sectional Chinese population (n = 6,822). The weighted scores were categorised into tertiles to assess the predictive capacity for incidence of type 2 diabetes and impaired glucose regulation (IGR), as well as for changes in Stumvoll first- and second-phase insulin secretion indices and Gutt's insulin sensitivity index (ISI) in a community-based 9 year prospective cohort (n = 2,495), including 2,192 individuals with normal glucose tolerance and 303 with IGR at baseline, through logistic, Cox and multiple linear regression tests.Results Weighted GRS predicted the incidence of type 2 diabetes and IGR in logistic regression (OR 1.236, 95% CI 1.100, 1.389, p = 0.0004) as well as in the Cox model (HR 1.129, 95% CI 1.026, 1.242, p = 0.0128) after adjusting for age, sex, BMI, smoking and alcohol status at baseline. Moreover, we observed that weighted GRS was able to predict deterioration in beta cell function (beta = -0.0480, p = 9.66 x 10(-5) and beta = -0.0303, p = 3.32 x 10(-5) for first- and second-phase insulin secretion, respectively), but not insulin sensitivity (p = 0.3815), during the 9 year follow-up period.Conclusions/interpretation The weighted GRS predicted blood glucose deterioration arising from change in beta cell function in the Chinese population. Individuals in the intermediate- or high-weighted GRS group exhibited progressive deterioration of beta cell function.