Attribution matters: Revisiting the link between extreme weather experience and climate change mitigation responses
Attribution matters: Revisiting the link between extreme weather experience and climate change mitigation responses
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DOI：
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.11.005
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发表时间：
2019-01-01
影响因子：
8.9
通讯作者：
Sposato, Robert G.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Ogunbode, Charles A.;Demski, Christina;Sposato, Robert G.
文献表明，极端天气经历有可能通过影响人们对气候变化的邻近和影响的感知方式来增加对气候变化的参与。然而，人们对调查极端天气事件主观解释为气候变化迹象的个体差异如何缓和极端天气经历与气候变化态度之间的联系的关注有限。本文认为，极端天气事件对气候变化的主观归因是极端天气经历转化为气候变化缓解反应的必要条件，而对极端天气事件对气候变化的主观归因受个体评价其极端天气经历的心理和社会背景的影响。使用2013/2014年冬季英国发生严重洪灾后收集的调查数据，在主观上将洪灾归因于气候变化的个人中，这次洪灾事件的个人经验仅直接预测气候变化的威胁，并间接预测气候变化缓解反应。此外，洪水对气候变化的主观归因受到先前存在的气候变化信念、政治派别和感知到的规范线索的显著预测。利用极端天气经验作为吸引公众参与的途径的努力，必须注意到关于极端天气事件可归因于气候变化的不同意见。
The literature suggests that extreme weather experiences have potential to increase climate change engagement by influencing the way people perceive the proximity and implications of climate change. Yet, limited attention has been directed at investigating how individual differences in the subjective interpretation of extreme weather events as indications of climate change moderate the link between extreme weather experiences and climate change attitudes. This article contends that subjective attribution of extreme weather events to climate change is a necessary condition for extreme weather experiences to be translated into climate change mitigation responses, and that subjective attribution of extreme weather to climate change is influenced by the psychological and social contexts in which individuals appraise their experiences with extreme weather. Using survey data gathered in the aftermath of severe flooding across the UK in winter 2013/2014, personal experience of this flooding event is shown to only directly predict perceived threat from climate change, and indirectly predict climate change mitigation responses, among individuals who subjectively attributed the floods to climate change. Additionally, subjective attribution of the floods to climate change is significantly predicted by pre-existing climate change belief, political affiliation and perceived normative cues. Attempts to harness extreme weather experiences as a route to engaging the public must be attentive to the heterogeneity of opinion on the attributability of extreme weather events to climate change.