Development of Framework for Assessing Influenza Virus Pandemic Risk.
Development of Framework for Assessing Influenza Virus Pandemic Risk.
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DOI：
10.3201/eid2108.141086
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发表时间：
2015-08
影响因子：
11.8
通讯作者：
Cox NJ
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Trock SC;Burke SA;Cox NJ
这一简单、可添加的多属性评估工具可以评估新型甲型流感病毒构成的风险。虽然还不可能预测哪种流感病毒亚型将导致下一次大流行，但公共卫生当局必须不断评估与动物流感病毒相关的大流行风险，特别是那些已导致人类感染的病毒，并确定应专门用于降低这种风险的资源。为了实现这一目标，与一个国际流感专家小组合作建立了一个风险评估框架。与以前使用的方法相比，这一名为流感风险评估工具的框架为评估和比较主要由禽流感和猪流感病毒构成的威胁提供了一种系统和透明的方法。这一工具将对国际流感界有用，并将保持灵活性，并对不断变化的信息作出反应。
This simple, additive, multiattribute assessment tool can evaluate the risk posed by novel influenza A viruses. Although predicting which influenza virus subtype will cause the next pandemic is not yet possible, public health authorities must continually assess the pandemic risk associated with animal influenza viruses, particularly those that have caused infections in humans, and determine what resources should be dedicated to mitigating that risk. To accomplish this goal, a risk assessment framework was created in collaboration with an international group of influenza experts. Compared with the previously used approach, this framework, named the Influenza Risk Assessment Tool, provides a systematic and transparent approach for assessing and comparing threats posed primarily by avian and swine influenza viruses. This tool will be useful to the international influenza community and will remain flexible and responsive to changing information.