Estimates of Indonesian population numbers: first impressions from the 2010 census
Estimates of Indonesian population numbers: first impressions from the 2010 census
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印度尼西亚人口数量估计：2010 年人口普查的第一印象
DOI：
10.1080/00074918.2010.522505
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发表时间：
2010
影响因子：
4.1
通讯作者：
T. Hull
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
T. Hull
本说明对尤多约诺总统于2010年8月16日宣布的2010年人口普查的初步结果提出了批评性的看法。它探讨了所使用的人口概念以及为提高普查估计数的准确性而作出的调整。根据过去十年各种官方人口预测所依据的假设，2010年年中的估计数大大低于5月份统计的2.37亿多人的数字。该说明认为，这远非反映“人口爆炸”，而是由于2010年人口普查中取得的成就，大大增加了人口普查日期居住在印度尼西亚的人口的覆盖范围。
Abstract This note provides a critical perspective on the preliminary results of the 2010 population census, which were announced by President Yudhoyono on 16 August 2010. It explores the concepts of population used and the adjustments made to increase the accuracy of census estimates. The assumptions underlying various official population projections in the last decade produced estimates for mid-2010 that were substantially below the figure of over 237 million persons counted in May. The note argues that, far from reflecting a ‘population explosion’, this is due to the achievement in the 2010 census of greatly increased coverage of people residing in Indonesia on the census date.