Reassessing Hedging: The Logic of Alignment in East Asia
Reassessing Hedging: The Logic of Alignment in East Asia
复制标题
重新评估对冲：东亚结盟的逻辑
DOI：
10.1080/09636412.2015.1103130
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发表时间：
2015
期刊：
影响因子：
1.8
通讯作者：
Zack Cooper
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Darren J. Lim;Zack Cooper
人们普遍认为，东亚地区的次要国家并不是纯粹的平衡或搭便车，而是通过将经济和政治接触政策与风险管理相结合来对冲美国和中国之间的关系。我们认为，套期保值行为不应包括不需要各国在安全选择中面临权衡的无成本活动。我们将套期保值重新定义为在次要国家与大国的共同安全利益的范围上产生模糊的信号。这一定义将重点重新放在安全关系上，并更好地考虑了自治和一致性之间的权衡。根据这一定义，我们认为，套期保值发生在比人们普遍认为的要窄得多(但可以说更有趣)的环境中。许多亚洲国家既有与美国的条约联盟，也有与中国的重大领土冲突，这造成了路径依赖，加强了平衡行为，而不是对冲。因此，我们澄清了国家行为的跨国差异，并为更大的关于中国崛起的地区反应的研究项目做出了贡献。
It is widely claimed that secondary states across East Asia are not purely balancing or bandwagoning, but rather hedging between the United States and China by combining policies of economic and political engagement with risk management. We argue that hedging behavior should not include costless activities that do not require states to face trade-offs in their security choices. We redefine hedging as signaling that generates ambiguity over the extent of a secondary state's shared security interests with great powers. This definition returns the focus to security relationships and better accounts for the trade-off between autonomy and alignment. Based on this definition, we argue that hedging occurs in far narrower (but arguably more interesting) circumstances than is widely believed. Many Asian states have existing treaty alliances with the United States or major territorial conflicts with China, creating path dependencies that reinforce balancing behavior rather than hedging. We therefore clarify cross-national variation in state behavior and contribute to the larger research project on regional responses to China's rise.