Trend of increase in the incidence of acute myocardial infarction in a Japanese population

Trend of increase in the incidence of acute myocardial infarction in a Japanese population
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DOI:
10.1093/aje/kwn064
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发表时间:
2008-06-01
影响因子:
5
通讯作者:
Ueshima, Hirotsugu
Ueshima, Hirotsugu
中科院分区:
医学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Rumana, Nahid;Kita, Yoshikuni;Ueshima, Hirotsugu

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日本的急性心肌梗死(AMI)的发病率和死亡率仍然很低,尽管有重大的饮食变化和心血管危险因素的恶化,这种情况应该导致AMI率大幅增加(日本悖论)。利用高岛AMI登记处的数据,研究了1990-2001年期间AMI发病率的当前趋势,该登记处覆盖了日本中部约55,000名稳定人群。计算1990-1992年、1993-1995年、1996-1998年和1999-2001年的AMI发病率(每10万人-年)和95%置信区间。发病率趋势是通过计算各年的平均年变化百分比确定的。在1990-2001年期间,有352例(男性:n = 224;女性:n = 128)登记的首次AMI病例。所有AMI的年龄校正发病率显示从1990-1992年的39.9(95%置信区间(CI):29.8,50.0)逐渐增加到1999-2001年的62.6(95% CI:51.5,73.7)。在男性中,年龄调整的发病率从1990-1992年的66.5(95% CI:46.4,86.6)增加到1999-2001年的100.7(95% CI:78.6,122.7)。在女性中,在最初急剧增加后观察到波动。男性的年平均发病率增加了7.6%(95% CI:3.5,11.7),女性增加了8.3%(95% CI:1.02,15.6)。据作者所知,这是第一项报告日本人群中AMI呈上升趋势的研究。
The incidence and mortality of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) remain low in Japan despite major dietary changes and worsening cardiovascular risk factors, a situation that should have resulted in a substantial increase in AMI rates (Japanese paradox). The current trend in the incidence of AMI was examined for the period 1990-2001 by use of data from the Takashima AMI Registry covering a stable population of approximately 55,000 in central Japan. AMI incidence rates (per 100,000 person-years) and 95% confidence intervals were calculated for 1990-1992, 1993-1995, 1996-1998, and 1999-2001. The incidence trend was determined by calculating the average annual change in percentage across the years. There were 352 (men: n = 224; women: n = 128) registered first-ever AMI cases during 1990-2001. The age-adjusted incidence rate of all AMI showed a gradual increase from 39.9 (95% confidence interval (CI): 29.8, 50.0) in 1990-1992 to 62.6 (95% CI: 51.5, 73.7) in 1999-2001. In men, the age-adjusted incidence rate increased from 66.5 (95% CI: 46.4, 86.6) in 1990-1992 to 100.7 (95% CI: 78.6, 122.7) in 1999-2001. In women, fluctuation was observed after an initial steep increase. The average annual incidence increased by 7.6% (95% CI: 3.5, 11.7) among men and by 8.3% (95% CI: 1.02, 15.6) among women. To the best of the authors' knowledge, this is the first study to report an increasing trend of AMI in a Japanese population.