Idiosyncratic Information and Vague Communication
Idiosyncratic Information and Vague Communication
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特殊信息和模糊沟通
DOI：
10.1017/s0003055420000660
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发表时间：
2021
影响因子：
6.8
通讯作者：
YANO MAKOTO
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
HONRYO TAKAKAZU;YANO MAKOTO
这项研究探讨了为什么在关键时刻，政府可能会向公众隐瞒重要信息。我们解释这种现象，我们称之为特质事件，或独立于信息接收者的状态或有支付函数的事件。特殊事件经常影响接收者对发送者表现的信念。如果这些事件与决定支付函数的事件相关，发送者可能会隐瞒信息，以改善他的形象。这一结果可能适用于操纵有关最近一些现实世界现象的信息，包括2011年的福岛核事故和正在爆发的COVID-19。
This study explores why, at critical moments, governments may withhold vital information from the public. We explain this phenomenon by what we call idiosyncratic events, or events independent of the information receiver’s state-contingent payoff functions. Idiosyncratic events often influence the receiver’s belief on the sender’s performance. If such events are correlated with the events determining the payoff functions, the sender may withhold information so as to improve his image. This result may be applied to the manipulation of information regarding a number of recent real-world phenomena, including the Fukushima nuclear accident in 2011 and the ongoing outbreak of COVID-19.