Old-Age Pension and Extended Families: How is Adult Children's Internal Migration Affected?
Old-Age Pension and Extended Families: How is Adult Children's Internal Migration Affected?
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DOI：
10.1111/coep.12161
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发表时间：
2016-10
影响因子：
1.5
通讯作者：
Chen X
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Chen X
本文利用中国农村最新的社会养老金改革来检验领取养老金是否使养老金领取者的成年子女具备迁移的能力。采用回归不连续性（以下简称RD）设计的主要纵向调查，本文克服了文献中的挑战，有资格领取养老金的家庭可能是系统性的不同，不符合条件的家庭，这是很难分开的影响，养老金的年龄或队列异质性。在领取养老金资格年龄截止点附近，结果显示，成年儿子（但不是女儿）离开家乡的人数大幅增加。与此同时，如果父母身体健康，成年子女更有可能移居国外。我们的模糊RD估计值通过了一组标准的关键安慰剂测试和稳健性检查。
This paper makes use of the most recent social pension reform in rural China to examine whether receipt of the pension payment equips adult children of pensioners to migrate. Employing a regression discontinuity (hereafter RD) design to a primary longitudinal survey, this paper overcomes challenges in the literature that households eligible for pension payment might be systematically different from ineligible households and that it is difficult to separate the effect of pension from that of age or cohort heterogeneity. Around the pension eligibility age cut-off, results reveal large and significant increase among adult sons (but not daughters) to migrate out of their home county. Meanwhile, adult children are more likely to migrate out if their parents are healthy. Our Fuzzy RD estimations survive a standard set of key placebo tests and robustness checks.