Roundwood Trade and its Impact on the Dynamics of Forest Resources in China : A Time Series Approach
Roundwood Trade and its Impact on the Dynamics of Forest Resources in China : A Time Series Approach
复制标题
原木贸易及其对中国森林资源动态的影响：时间序列方法
DOI：
10.20818/jfe.51.2_58
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发表时间：
2005
影响因子：
0.9
通讯作者：
Shin Nagata
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Yufu Zhang;S. Tachibana;Shin Nagata
自20世纪80年代后半期以来，在经济发展的巨大压力下，中国经济的重要支柱——圆草的进口和森林保护政策。本文回顾了1990年以来中国圆材贸易政策和圆材进出口的变化，采用时间序列方法验证了圆材进口对中国森林资源增长的贡献，并在多大程度上促进了中国森林资源的增长。逐步建立的回归模型表明，圆材和人均GDP增长对森林资源都有正向影响。而圆木出口则有负面影响。中国
Under heavy p]'essure for economic deN'elopment since the secc}nd half of 1980s. roundweed imports plu}, an important ro]e in the Chinese econem), and f'orest protection policy. In this research, a review of the roundwood trade policy and the changes in roundwood imports and cxports in China sincc 1990 is undertakcn, In order to confirm whether and to what degree reundwood imports contribute to an increase in (lhinese fbrest reseurces, this study adopts tt time series approach, The stepwise inip]emented rcgrcssion model shows that both roundwood and per capita GDP growth hav'e positive impacls on forest resources. whereas roundwood export has a negatis,e impaet. China