AN APPLICATION OF PHENOLOGICAL DATA TO HISTORICAL CLIMATOLOGY
AN APPLICATION OF PHENOLOGICAL DATA TO HISTORICAL CLIMATOLOGY
复制标题
DOI：
10.1002/j.1477-8696.1974.tb03318.x
复制
发表时间：
1974-09
期刊：
影响因子：
1.9
通讯作者：
J. Kington
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
J. Kington
最近，Le Roy Ladurie（1972）对用物候方法解释过去气候的概念进行了严格的检验。勒罗伊·拉杜里利用18世纪和19世纪的既定温度序列，确凿地表明，从法国和瑞士的葡萄酒收获日期获得的物候序列与春夏期间的平均温度密切相关。回溯到15世纪后半叶的葡萄栽培系列，再加上14世纪的进一步序列，提供了在仪器温度观测开始之前的一段时间内定量气候数据的宝贵来源。1972年东安格利亚大学气候研究中心成立后，罗伯特·马舍姆（Robert Marsham， FRS）和他的后代在诺福克所做的物候报告引起了我的注意。Southwell（1875年和1901年）和Margary（1926年）之前对Marsham记录的调查已经表明了其显著的长度和连续性，根据当前历史气候学的研究，重新检查记录似乎是合适的，特别是参考曼利的“英格兰中部”温度序列。
HE concept of interpreting past climates by phenological methods has T recently been critically examined by Le Roy Ladurie (1972). Using established temperature series for the 18th and 19th centuries, Le Roy Ladurie has shown conclusively that phenological series obtained from the dates of wine harvests in France and Switzerland correspond closely with the mean temperature of the spring-summer period. Viticultural series assembled back to the latter part of the 15th century, with further sequences to the 14th century, provide valuable sources of quantitative climatic data in a period before instrumental observations of temperature were being made. Following the establishment of the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia in 1972, the phenological reports made by Robert Marsham, FRS, and his descendants in Norfolk were brought to my attention. Previous investigations of the Marsham record by Southwell (1875 and 1901) and Margary (1926) have already indicated its remarkable length and continuity and in the light of current studies in historical climatology it would seem appropriate to make a re-examination of the record, with particular reference to the'central England'temperature series of Manley.