Use of association rules to explore cause-effect relationships in occupational accidents in the Taiwan construction industry
Use of association rules to explore cause-effect relationships in occupational accidents in the Taiwan construction industry
复制标题
DOI：
10.1016/j.ssci.2009.12.005
复制
发表时间：
2010-04-01
期刊：
影响因子：
6.1
通讯作者：
Leu, Sou-Sen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Cheng, Ching-Wu;Lin, Chen-Chung;Leu, Sou-Sen
建筑业职业事故发生率的模型大多由多种因素组成。虽然统计技术可以用来推断这些因素之间的因果关系，但由于涉及的因素很多，它们之间的关系也很复杂，管理人员很难识别建设项目中的潜在危险，从而制定有效的安全程序。本研究以台湾建造业2000-2007年间发生的1347宗意外事故为研究对象，运用数据挖掘中的关联规则方法进行分析。关联规则方法使人们能够在导致建筑行业职业事故的众多因素中找出潜在的因果关系。研究发现，当存在某些危险组合时，这类事故往往会发生--特别是在没有保护措施的高处工作、移动时失去平衡、没有使用保护设备、经验不足以及与不稳定的建筑物进行损害性接触。这些危险在10人以下的小企业中尤为明显。研究结果可以帮助管理层针对管理缺陷和员工培训制定有效的安全政策。(C)2009爱思唯尔有限公司。保留所有权利。
Most models of the incidence of occupational accidents in the construction industry are composed of multiple factors. Although statistical techniques can be used to infer cause-and-effect relationships among these factors, the large number of factors involved and the complexity of the relationships among them make it difficult for managers to identify potential hazards in construction projects and thus develop effective safety procedures. This study addresses this problem by using the association-rule method of data mining in performing an analysis of 1347 accidents in the Taiwan construction industry during the period 2000-2007. The association-rule method enables potential cause-and-effect relationships to be identified among the many factors that play a role in occupational accidents in the construction industry. The study finds that such accidents tend to occur when certain combinations of hazards are present - especially working in high places without protective measures, loss of balance when in motion, failure to use protective equipment, insufficient experience, and injurious contact with unstable structures. These hazards are especially evident in small enterprises with less than 10 persons. The results can help management to formulate effective safety policies with regard to management shortcomings and staff training. (C) 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.