Staunching emigration from East Germany: Age and the determinants of migration
Staunching emigration from East Germany: Age and the determinants of migration
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DOI：
10.1162/jeea.2006.4.5.1014
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发表时间：
2006-09-01
影响因子：
3.6
通讯作者：
Hunt, Jennifer
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Hunt, Jennifer
1990年德国统一后，东部工资和失业率都迅速上升。我证明，工资上涨大大减少了东部移民，而失业率上升几乎没有影响。这反映了年轻人的行为，他们对来源地的工资非常敏感，对来源地的失业相对不敏感。我表明，大部分的影响，来源失业来自同期的影响，对那些下岗，谁更有可能是老年人。我发现，以教育程度和搬迁前的工资衡量，年轻移民的技能要比本地移民高得多，年长移民的技能略高，而通勤者的技能并不高。我的结论是基于1990-2000年德国社会经济小组东部样本的州际移民数据和个人数据的比较结果。
Following the unification of Germany in 1990, eastern wages and unemployment both rose rapidly. I demonstrate that rising wages reduced eastern emigration greatly, while rising unemployment had little effect. This reflects the behavior of the young, who are very sensitive to source region wages, and relatively insensitive to source unemployment. I show that most of the effect of source unemployment comes from the contemporaneous effect on those laid-off, who are more likely to be older. I find that, compared to stayers, young emigrants are much more skilled, older emigrants are slightly more skilled, and commuters are not more skilled, as measured by education and pre-move wages. My conclusions are based on a comparison of results from aggregate inter-state migration data and individual data from the eastern sample of the German Socio-Economic Panel for 1990-2000.