Plug-in Electric Vehicle Markets and Their Infrastructure Investment Policies under Fuel Economy Uncertainty
Plug-in Electric Vehicle Markets and Their Infrastructure Investment Policies under Fuel Economy Uncertainty
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DOI：
10.12949/ijros.1.39
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发表时间：
2013
影响因子：
1.7
通讯作者：
D. Yamashita;T. Niimura;H. Takamori;Ti Wang;R. Yokoyama
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
D. Yamashita;T. Niimura;H. Takamori;Ti Wang;R. Yokoyama
作者模拟了插电式电动汽车（PEV）市场的发展与PEV用户的充电基础设施，并包括燃料成本的市场波动。PEV购买者的驱动因素之一是燃料成本相对于PEV价格的节省的前景。另一个关键因素是社区中的充电站可用性。因此，关于是否购买PEV的决策涉及在未来燃料经济性不确定性下的投资决策。支持PEV扩散的政策也受到化石燃料经济趋势的影响。本文估计了未来10年汽油价格的可能波动范围，并定量分析了汽油价格波动对电动汽车市场增长的影响。然后，我们的目标是评估各种公共补贴计划，以PEV买家和充电基础设施企业。
: The authors model the development of plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) markets hand-in-hand with the charging infrastructure for PEV users and include the market fluctuation of fuel costs. One of the driving factors for PEV buyers is the prospect of fuel cost-savings relative to the price of the PEV. Another key factor is charging station availability in the community. The decision regarding whether to purchase a PEV thus involves an investment decision under fuel economy uncertainty in the future. Policies to support the proliferation of PEVs are also affected by the economic trend of fossil fuels. This paper estimates the possible ranges of gasoline price fluctuation over the next 10 years and quantitatively analyzes these fluctuations’ influence on the market growth of electric vehicles. We then aim to evaluate various public subsidy initiatives to PEV buyers and charging infrastructure enterprises.