Roadmapping a disruptive technology: A case study: The emerging microsystems and top-down nanosystems industry
Roadmapping a disruptive technology: A case study: The emerging microsystems and top-down nanosystems industry
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DOI：
10.1016/j.techfore.2003.10.003
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发表时间：
2004
影响因子：
12
通讯作者：
S. Walsh
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
S. Walsh
如果技术路线图在技术快速商业化的过程中很重要，如果不存在一种专门为新生的颠覆性技术绘制路线图的方法，如果这些颠覆性技术预示着企业、国家和地区未来的经济引擎，那么就有理由感到担忧。本文试图通过关注持续性技术和破坏性技术之间的根本差异，来阐明工业破坏性技术路线图的过程。本文探讨了实用的理论和实践传统的技术路线图工具，在国际工业路线图的努力，重点是微技术和自上而下的纳米技术。然后，我修改了传统的技术路线图的方法，生成一个模型的工业全球颠覆性技术路线图的过程。我利用国际工业微系统和自上而下的纳米系统路线图（IIMTDNR）的努力，其中包括近400人，来自几乎同样多的公司，来自五大洲，并在5年内开发。IIMTDNR流程用于为商业颠覆性技术路线图流程的模型提供基础。
If technological roadmapping is important in the process of rapid technology commercialization, and if a method tailored to roadmapping nascent disruptive technologies does not exist, and if these very same disruptive technologies portend to be the future economic engines for firms, countries, and regions, then there is cause for concern. This article seeks to shed some light on the process in industrial disruptive technology roadmapping by focusing on the fundamental differences between sustaining and disruptive technologies. This article investigates the utility of theoretical and practitioner traditional technology roadmapping tools in an international industrial roadmapping effort focusing on microtechnology and top-down nanotechnology. I then modify the traditional technology roadmapping approaches generating a model for an industrial worldwide disruptive technology roadmapping process. I utilize the International Industrial Microsystems and Top-Down Nanosystems Roadmap (IIMTDNR) effort, which included nearly 400 people, from nearly as many firms, from over five continents and was developed over a 5-year period. The IIMTDNR process is used to provide the basis for a model for a commercial disruptive technology roadmapping process.