The Sociology of the Future and the Future of Sociology
The Sociology of the Future and the Future of Sociology
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未来的社会学和社会学的未来
DOI：
10.2307/1389342
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发表时间：
1996
影响因子：
2.4
通讯作者：
Wendell Bell
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Wendell Bell
在对社会学未来可能发展方向的研究基础上，我提出了八项建议，旨在加强社会学作为一门行动和政策科学的地位：（1）以批判现实主义作为一种知识理论，取代后现代信仰，从而避免极端主观主义和相对主义的自我毁灭后果。(2)既然正确的决策需要知道预期行为的未来可能后果，那么就应该更多地关注预测和对自我改变的预言的研究。(3)将道德话语带回社会学-明确，严格，批判和客观-专注于实现人类的自由和福祉。（4）全球化思考，（5）整体化思考，即使在本地工作时也是如此。(6)认真对待时间的意义，探索真实的，虽然有时隐藏，替代目前的可能性，为尚未证据的未来。(7)把人们看作是积极的行动者，他们努力创造他们想要的未来。（8）在定义社会时，强调期望、选择和决定，因为人们通过历史行动，通过试图将他们对理想未来的想象转化为社会现实来构建社会。
Drawing on futures studies for possible future directions of Sociology, I make eight proposals designed to enhance Sociology as an action and policy science: (1) Replace postmodern beliefs with critical realism as a theory of knowledge, thereby avoiding the self-defeating consequences of extreme subjectivism and relativism. (2) Since sound decision making invites knowing the probable future consequences of contemplated actions, give more attention to prediction and the study of self-altering prophecies. (3) Bring moral discourse back into Sociology— explicitly, rigorously, critically, and objectively—focusing on achieving freedom and well-being for human beings. Think (4) globally and (5) holistically, even when working locally. (6) Take the meaning of time seriously and explore the real, though sometimes hidden, alternative present possibilities for the not-yet-evidential future. (7) View people as active agents who strive to create the futures that they want. And (8) in defining society, emphasize expectation, choice, and decision as people, through historical actions, construct society by attempting to transform their images of desirable futures into social realities.