Exposure of developing countries to sea-level rise and storm surges
Exposure of developing countries to sea-level rise and storm surges
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DOI：
10.1007/s10584-010-9959-6
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发表时间：
2011-06-01
期刊：
影响因子：
4.8
通讯作者：
Wheeler, David
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Dasgupta, Susmita;Laplante, Benoit;Wheeler, David
在所有纬度和所有海洋中，海洋表面温度的升高都是非常明显的。迄今为止的科学证据表明，海洋表面温度的升高将加剧气旋活动，并加剧风暴潮。该文件评估了(沿海)发展中国家面临海平面上升和风暴潮加剧的风险。使用地理信息系统(地理信息系统)软件，将关于关键暴露要素(土地、人口、国内生产总值、农业面积和湿地)的最佳可用空间分类全球数据与预计风暴潮加剧和海平面上升1米的淹没区域叠加。国家一级的结果表明，发展中国家对这些气候引起的变化的风险显著增加。
An increase in sea surface temperature is strongly evident at all latitudes and in all oceans. The scientific evidence to date suggests that increased sea surface temperature will intensify cyclone activity and heighten storm surges. The paper assesses the exposure of (coastal) developing countries to sea-level rise and the intensification of storm surges. Geographic Information System (GIS) software is used to overlay the best available, spatially-disaggregated global data on critical exposed elements (land, population, GDP, agricultural extent and wetlands) with the inundation zones projected with heightened storm surges and a 1 m sea-level rise. Country-level results indicate a significant increase in exposure of developing countries to these climate-induced changes.