Male and female offending trajectories
Male and female offending trajectories
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DOI：
10.1017/s0954579402001098
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发表时间：
2002-12-01
影响因子：
3.3
通讯作者：
Horwood, LJ
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Fergusson, DM;Horwood, LJ
本文使用潜在班级建模方法来检验从青春期到青壮年的犯罪轨迹中与性别相关的变化。这一方法被应用于对896名新西兰儿童从出生到21岁的纵向研究过程中收集的数据。分析确定了五条轨迹。分组：一组低风险罪犯，三组青少年限制型罪犯，他们的犯罪开始时间不同(早期。中级和晚发)。和一群惯犯。同样的犯罪轨迹也适用于男性和女性。然而，轨迹组成员的概率因性别而异，女性更有可能表现出低风险或早发的青少年局限性犯罪，而男性更有可能表现出较晚的发病和慢性犯罪。对社会、家庭的审视。与这些轨迹相关的个体因素表明，存在一系列与家庭功能和早期适应有关的共同病因，这些因素区分了轨迹组。男性和女性的主题性风险因素似乎都以类似的方式发挥作用。讨论了这些发现对攻击性轨迹理论的影响。
This paper uses a latent class modeling approach to examine gender related variations in offending trajectories from adolescence to young adulthood. This approach is applied to data gathered over the course of a longitudinal study of 896 New Zealand children studied from birth to age 21 years. The analysis identified five trajectory. groups: a group of low-risk offenders, three groups of adolescent-limited offenders who varied in the timing of the onset of offending (early. intermediate, and late onset). and a group of chronic offenders. Identical offending trajectories applied for males and females. However, probabilities of trajectory group membership varied with gender, with females being more likely to exhibit low-risk or early onset adolescent-limited offending and males later onset and chronic offending. Examination of social, family. and individual factors associated with these trajectories suggested the presence of a series of common etiological factors relating to family functioning and early adjustment that discriminated between trajectory groups. Theme risk factors appeared to operate in a similar fashion for both males and females. Implications of these findings for trajectory theories of offending are discussed.