Materials availability for large-scale thin-film photovoltaics
Materials availability for large-scale thin-film photovoltaics
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DOI：
10.1002/(sici)1099-159x(200001/02)8:1
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发表时间：
2000
影响因子：
6.7
通讯作者：
Björn A. Andersson
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Björn A. Andersson
本文的目的是讨论在何种程度上材料的可用性可以限制扩展的光伏系统的基础上CdTe，CIGS，aSiGe和纳米晶染料敏化电池。研究的元素有镉、碲、铟、镓、硒、锗和钌。评估材料需求、年度可用性和可用资源存量。2020年，材料限制的装机容量增长估计为CdTe和染料敏化电池约20 GWp/年，CIGS约70 GWp/年，aSiGe约200 GWp/年。这些潜力是通过减少材料需求和增加材料可用性来实现的。人们认为金属价格会上涨。在悲观的假设下，电位会降低一到两个数量级。对公共政策和公司战略的影响进行了简要讨论。版权所有© 2000约翰威利父子有限公司。
The objective of this paper is to discuss to what extent materials availability could restrain the expansion of PV systems based on CdTe, CIGS, aSiGe and nanocrystalline dye-sensitised cells. The investigated elements are cadmium, tellurium, indium, gallium, selenium, germanium and ruthenium. Materials requirement, annual availability and available stock of resources are assessed. The material constrained growth of installed capacity in the year 2020 is estimated at about 20 GWp/year for CdTe and dye-sensitised cells, 70 GWp/year for CIGS and 200 GWp/year for aSiGe. These potentials are reached through decreased materials requirement and increased materials availability. Metal prices are assumed to rise. With pessimistic assumptions, the potentials decrease by one or two orders of magnitude. Implications for public policy and firm strategy are briefly discussed. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.