STATISTICAL-INFERENCE PROCEDURES FOR BIVARIATE ARCHIMEDEAN COPULAS

STATISTICAL-INFERENCE PROCEDURES FOR BIVARIATE ARCHIMEDEAN COPULAS
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DOI:
10.2307/2290796
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发表时间:
1993-09-01
影响因子:
3.7
通讯作者:
RIVEST, LP
RIVEST, LP
中科院分区:
数学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
GENEST, C;RIVEST, LP

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一个具有边值F(x)和G(y)的二元分布函数H(x,y)被称为由阿基米德copula生成的,如果它可以表示为H(x,y)= phi-1[phi{F(x)} + phi{G(y)}]的形式,对于定义在(0,1]上的某个凸的递减函数phi,以这样的方式,phi(1)= 0。许多著名的二元分布系统都属于这一类,包括Gumbel、Ali-Mikhail-Haq-Thelot、克莱顿、Frank和Hougaard的系统。脆弱的模型也属于一般处方。本文研究了在随机样本(X1,Y1),.. (X(n),Y(n))。估计过程的关键是一个一维的经验分布函数,可以构造X和Y的统一表示是否是阿基米德的,并且独立于它们的边缘。这个半参数估计,基于分解的肯德尔的tau统计量,被认为是平方根n-一致的,并提供了一个明确的公式,其渐近方差。这导致了一个战略选择参数家庭的阿基米德copula,提供了最好的可能适合一组给定的数据。为了说明这些程序,铀矿勘探数据集重新分析。虽然介绍仅限于涉及从一个二元分布的随机样本的问题,扩展到涉及多变量或删失数据的情况下,可以设想。
A bivariate distribution function H(x, y) with marginals F(x) and G(y) is said to be generated by an Archimedean copula if it can be expressed in the form H(x, y) = phi-1[phi{F(x)} + phi{G(y)}] for some convex, decreasing function phi defined on (0, 1] in such a way that phi(1) = 0. Many well-known systems of bivariate distributions belong to this class, including those of Gumbel, Ali-Mikhail-Haq-Thelot, Clayton, Frank, and Hougaard. Frailty models also fall under that general prescription. This article examines the problem of selecting an Archimedean copula providing a suitable representation of the dependence structure between two variates X and Y in the light of a random sample (X1, Y1),..., (X(n), Y(n)). The key to the estimation procedure is a one-dimensional empirical distribution function that can be constructed whether the uniform representation of X and Y is Archimedean or not, and independently of their marginals. This semiparametric estimator, based on a decomposition of Kendall's tau statistic, is seen to be square-root n-consistent, and an explicit formula for its asymptotic variance is provided. This leads to a strategy for selecting the parametric family of Archimedean copulas that provides the best possible fit to a given set of data. To illustrate these procedures, a uranium exploration data set is reanalyzed. Although the presentation is restricted to problems involving a random sample from a bivariate distribution, extensions to situations involving multivariate or censored data could be envisaged.