Identification of weather trends for use as a component of risk management for port operations
Identification of weather trends for use as a component of risk management for port operations
复制标题
DOI：
10.1007/s11069-012-0491-z
复制
发表时间：
2014-05
期刊：
影响因子：
3.7
通讯作者：
S. Athanasatos;Silas Michaelides;M. Papadakis
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
S. Athanasatos;Silas Michaelides;M. Papadakis
现代航运的效率绝不能以承担可避免的风险为代价。航运中大多数活动的复杂性需要专家的合作努力，以理解风险的不确定性并寻求降低风险的措施。然而，这种努力绝不能阻碍运营，而是旨在通过解决那些对其产生负面影响的因素来提高生产力。这种处理风险问题的迫切需要导致了一系列与风险相关的学科的发展。尽可能识别造成危险的因素并找到最小化危险的有效方法，从而使操作更顺畅、时间更短，并最终降低成本。天气是可能在海事相关作业中产生风险并降低生产力的因素之一。与其他具有不确定性和风险的因素一样，天气不仅会影响港口的实际运营（如货物和旅客的装卸），也会给整个上下游产业链带来问题。在本研究中，试图识别和记录利马索尔港的危险天气趋势（用作地中海港口的案例研究）。提供该地区当前天气状况的最新图片，旨在为短期和长期风险评估提供重要信息。
Efficiency in modern shipping must not come at the expense of undertaking avoidable risks. The complexity of most activities in shipping requires a cooperative effort made by specialists to comprehend the uncertainties of risk and to seek measures for its reduction. Such an effort, however, must not hinder operations but aim at promoting productivity by addressing those factors that have a negative effect on it. This imperative need to deal with the problems of risk led to the development of a series of risk-related disciplines. Identifying the factors that create hazards and finding an effective way of minimizing them, whenever possible, leads to smoother operations, better time frames and, eventually, lower costs. One of the factors that can generate risks and reduce productivity in maritime-related operations is weather. Like any other factor that bears uncertainties and risks, weather hampers actual port operations (such as the loading/unloading of goods and passengers), but it also leads to problems for a whole chain of upstream and downstream industries. In this study, an attempt is made to identify and register hazardous weather trends in the Port of Limassol (used as a case study for Mediterranean ports). An up-to-date picture of the prevailing weather conditions in the area is presented with the aim to provide vital information for risk assessment purposes, both in the short and in the long term.