Incident cardiovascular disease risk prediction using extensive oximetry patterns.
Incident cardiovascular disease risk prediction using extensive oximetry patterns.
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Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) has been associated with increased risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD) in multiple studies [1–3]. However, the nature of its association requires further investigation, including how to best predict which patients ultimately develop CVD. This is a challenging task, given the heterogeneous information provided by the apnea–hypopnea index (AHI; which may obscure OSA endotypes)[4, 5] on one hand, and the complex nature of polysomnographic signals (with minimal guidance on defining optimal signals) on the other. Identifying an optimal signal or combination of signals that improves the accuracy of CVD risk prediction would improve risk stratification and personalized medicine. Ideally a search across a broad range of candidate signals would also provide insights on potential biological mechanisms and contribute to the design of improved OSA clinical trial measures when appropriately considering the larger biological context that contributes to these signals [6]. Testing dozens of candidate signals among thousands of participants remains technically challenging, even when considering cleaned and harmonized PSG datasets provided by resources such as the National Sleep Research Resource (NSRR)[7]. In this issue, Kate Sutherland and colleagues [8] describe the most comprehensive analysis of oximetry patterns that may help to predict incident CVD among patients with OSA to date. The authors examined a subset of Sleep Heart Health Study participants with OSA (as defined by AHI≥ 5) and without preexisting CVD. The median follow-up was 11.5 years. Thirty-one candidate signals were examined in primary analyses and further examined in sex-stratified and NREM-and REM-specific analyses. These signals were divided into four domains [9]. In addition to desaturation characteristics that have been explored using the hypoxic burden and similar measures, Sutherland and colleagues examined the time series of saturation values (eg the shape of the distribution of SpO2 values), the power spectral density of the oximetry signal (eg the shape of the distribution of the OSA-band portion of the curve), and nonlinear analyses (eg the regularity of similar oximetry patterns). The authors did not identify any individual signals that were associated with incident CVD at Bonferroni-adjusted significance in the combined sample or in men, but did identify suggestive associations in women that include the oxygen desaturation index (ODI) at 5%, the nadir SpO2, the mean of the OSA frequency band of the power spectral density, and the SpO2 distribution standard deviation (p 0.007–0.014). A suggestive association with the hypoxic burden was present in women (p= 0.02) but not in men (p= 0.91). Multiple candidate signals were better individual predictors of incident CVD than the AHI (p≥ 0.26). Despite a lack of statistically significant results, this study is nevertheless an important step in identifying candidate predictive signals for CVD that should be continued in future studies. A broad “grid search” that identifies optimal signals associated with clinical outcomes among a range of partially correlated candidate signals is a productive means of moving beyond the AHI to identify more clinically relevant PSG metrics. Sutherland et al. have demonstrated the scalability of their algorithms to thousands of recordings, which is a necessary threshold for practically addressing epidemiological-scale questions. Multiple suggestive associations and a prior study of the same dataset with a broader range of AHI values and broadly similar endpoints [2] indicate that significant associations are possible with improvements in study …
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影响因子:
5.6
作者:
通讯作者:
--
DOI:
10.1164/rccm.202010-3900oc
发表时间:
2021-06-15
影响因子:
24.7
作者:
Azarbarzin, Ali;Sands, Scott A.;Wellman, Andrew
通讯作者:
Wellman, Andrew
影响因子:
5.6
作者:
Won, Christine H. J.;Reid, Michelle;Redline, Susan
通讯作者:
Redline, Susan
影响因子:
24
作者:
McClelland RL;Jorgensen NW;Budoff M;Blaha MJ;Post WS;Kronmal RA;Bild DE;Shea S;Liu K;Watson KE;Folsom AR;Khera A;Ayers C;Mahabadi AA;Lehmann N;Jöckel KH;Moebus S;Carr JJ;Erbel R;Burke GL
通讯作者:
Burke GL
DOI:
10.1164/rccm.202105-1274oc
发表时间:
2022-01-01
影响因子:
24.7
作者:
Trzepizur, Wojciech;Blanchard, Margaux;Gagnadoux, Frederic
通讯作者:
Gagnadoux, Frederic