The ASEAN‐China Free Trade Area: genesis and implications
The ASEAN‐China Free Trade Area: genesis and implications
复制标题
中国-东盟自由贸易区：起源与影响
DOI：
10.1080/1035771042000220114
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发表时间：
2004
影响因子：
1.5
通讯作者：
J. Cheng
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
J. Cheng
1997-98年的金融危机生动地揭示了亚太地区在全球化后果面前的脆弱性。东盟国家认为，在危机期间，美国和亚太经合组织提供的帮助不大，它们觉得IMF施加的条件令人不快。但是东盟作为一个区域组织已经被大大削弱了，它一直在努力恢复其影响力。“东盟+ 3”模式被视为加强东盟地位和相关性的重要手段。东盟—中国自由贸易区无疑是这一方针的杰出成果；但东盟一直在努力保持其选择的开放性。另一方面，中国一直担心中美关系恶化的危险以及东京和北京之间日益增加的不信任。因此，改善中国与东盟的关系在中国的地区政策中具有越来越重要的意义；加强共同利益和相互依存是削弱东盟国家对“中国威胁”看法的最佳途径。但中国不能忽视日本和韩国的利益，也不能低估东盟对美国被排除在外的抵制，以及东盟维持地区力量平衡的愿望。希望东盟-中国自由贸易区也能促进缩小较发达的东盟成员国和发展中国家之间的差距，以及中国较富裕的沿海省份和贫穷的内陆省份之间的差距。从许多方面来说，东盟—中国自由贸易区的建立对双方在相互接触过程中所能取得的成就构成了挑战。
The Asia‐Pacific region's vulnerabilities to the consequences of globalisation were vividly revealed by its financial crisis in 1997–98. ASEAN states considered the US and APEC less than helpful during the crisis, and they found the conditionalities imposed by the IMF unpalatable. But ASEAN as a regional organisation has been much weakened, and it has been working hard to revive its influence. The ‘ASEAN plus 3’ approach has been perceived as an important means to strengthen ASEAN's status and relevance. The ASEAN‐China Free Trade Area is undoubtedly an outstanding achievement of this approach; but ASEAN has been trying to keep its options open. On the other hand, China has been concerned with the danger of a deterioration in Sino‐American relations and the increasing distrust between Tokyo and Beijing. Improvement of China‐ASEAN relations therefore assumes increasing significance in China's regional policy; and enhancing mutual interests and interdependence is the best way to erode the ASEAN states' perception of the ‘China threat’. But China must not neglect the interests of Japan and South Korea or underestimate ASEAN's resistance to the exclusion of the US and its desire to maintain a balance of power in the region. The ASEAN‐China Free Trade Area, hopefully, should also facilitate the narrowing of the gap between the more developed and the developing ASEAN members, as well as that between the more prosperous coastal provinces and the poor interior provinces in China. In many ways, the establishment of the ASEAN‐China Free Trade Area represents a challenge to what can be achieved in the mutual engagement process.